Good morning bloggers,
Yesterday’s discussion was interesting, quite interesting when it came to the potential that I had Coronavirus over two months ago. Hearing a few of your stories that are way too similar to ignore makes me want to tell my story beyond this blog. So, thank you for being open about this subject. We are all experiencing this together as a community, a nation, the world. While we social distance at KSHB-TV, I am most concerned with if a major severe weather outbreak shows up and how we will staff this, chase it, and interact with the community during it. It is something that does need to be planned.
Right now, there is not a major severe weather outbreak in the forecast, but this system is strong enough to get your attention. For KC, as usual, it appears we will have minimal risks, and at the same time, we must see how it sets up. Here is the European Model solution as of last night.
Let’s begin with the 1 PM (18z) surface map forecast:
Look very closely. There is a little surface low circulation just northwest of KC at 1 PM Thursday. If this indeed is in that position, it would warm up to 70 degrees on Thursday, or higher.
By Thursday night at 1 AM Friday, this map above shows thunderstorms forming north of the stalling front, which by this time is approaching Wichita. The thunderstorms may form near KC initially, so it has my attention.
By Friday evening, the map above, the front is now becoming a warm front at 7 PM Friday. It will extend out of that 994 mb surface low over the western Oklahoma Panhandle, and extend along the KS/OK border. This storm will then blow up into a strong mid-latitude synoptic scale cyclone (Go google that and see what comes up):
This development is rather complex. The NAM has come out and is a bit cooler and farther south on the position of the fronts. Let’s see how this sets up.
The sun will come out this afternoon in KC, and this is good news, because it is Sunny The Weather Dog’s Birthday. HAPPY BIRTHDAY to my 5-year old baby!